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Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash: what do we know?



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Dec 27 (Reuters) – A passenger jet operated by Azerbaijan Airlines crashed near the city of Aktau in Kazakhstan on Wednesday, after diverting from an area of southern Russia where Moscow has repeatedly used air defence systems against Ukrainian attack drones.

At least 38 people were killed while 29 survived.

Here is what we know so far:

WHAT HAPPENED?

Azerbaijan Airlines flight J2-8243 from Azerbaijan’s capital Baku flew hundreds of miles off its scheduled route to Grozny, in Russia’s southern Chechnya region, and crashed on the opposite shore of the Caspian Sea around 3 km (1.8 miles) from Aktau in Kazakhstan.

It is not known why the plane veered off hundreds of miles across the Caspian Sea.

Russia’s aviation watchdog said on Friday the plane had decided to reroute from its original destination amid

dense fog and a local alert over Ukrainian drones, opens new tab

.

WHAT CAUSED THE CRASH?

This is not yet known as an official investigation gets underway.

Four sources with knowledge of the preliminary findings of Azerbaijan’s investigation told Reuters on Thursday that Russian air defences had mistakenly shot it down. Pictures of the plane wreckage showed what appeared to be shrapnel damage to the tail section of the plane.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Friday he had nothing to add and did not want to give any assessments until the official investigation made its conclusions.

Russia’s aviation watchdog said on Wednesday the emergency may have been caused by a bird strike. Russia has said it is important to wait for the official investigation to finish its work to understand what happened.

On Friday, Azerbaijan Airlines said preliminary results of an investigation showed the plane experienced “external physical and technical interference”, without giving details.

Two passengers on the plane told Reuters that there was at least one loud bang as it approached its original destination Grozny.

INVESTIGATION

Kazakhstan is leading the investigation which will be carried out under international rules known throughout the industry by their legal name “Annex 13”, governed by the United Nations aviation body ICAO.

The plane’s black box, which contains flight data to help determine the cause of a crash, had been found, Interfax reported on Wednesday.

The governments of passengers and crew on board – Azeri, Kazakh, Russian and Kyrgyz – and Brazil, which is home of the planemaker Embraer

(EMBR3.SA), opens new tab

will likely be involved. The United States, where the plane’s engine was made, may also participate.

Brazil sent three Air Force investigators to Kazakhstan to take part in the probe. Embraer representatives are also on the ground, according to Kazakhstan’s president, local media reported.

Under Annex 13

guidelines, opens new tab

, a preliminary report will be published within 30 days of the incident and a final report within 12 months.

The final report on the accidental downing of a jet in Iran took over a year to be released by Iran’s civil aviation body.

IS THERE A PRECEDENT FOR THIS KIND OF INCIDENT?

If confirmed, it would be the third major fatal downing of a passenger jet linked to armed conflict since 2014, according to the Flight Safety Foundation’s Aviation Safety Network, a global database of accidents and incidents.

Previous disasters include the shooting down of Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752 in 2020 by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, killing all 176 people on board.

In 2014, Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17 was shot down over eastern Ukraine by a Russian BUK missile system with the loss of 298 passengers and crew.

IMPACT ON AIRLINES’ OPERATIONS

Azerbaijan’s civil aviation body said flights from Baku to Russia would be suspended for safety reasons until the release of the final report. Flydubai has suspended flights to two southern Russian airports since the crash.

The Reuters Daily Briefing newsletter provides all the news you need to start your day. Sign up here.

Reporting by Joanna Plucinska in London, Gleb Stolyarov in Tbilisi and Nailia Bagirova in Baku;
Editing by Josephine Mason and Ros Russell

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab


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Black boxes of downed Azerbaijani jet recovered as questions mount over Russian involvement. Here’s what we know | CNN



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CNN
 — 

Early indications suggest a Russian anti-aircraft system may have downed the passenger jet that crashed in Kazakhstan on Christmas Day, a US official told CNN, as authorities recovered a second black box that they hope will shed light on the cause of the disaster that killed dozens of people.

The signs point to a Russian system striking Azerbaijan Airlines flight J2-8243 before it crashed near the city of Aktau, the US official said Thursday.

This is the first time the US has offered an assessment of Wednesday’s crash, which killed at least 38 of the 67 people aboard the plane.

If the early indications are ultimately confirmed, it may have been a case of mistaken identity, the US official said, in which poorly trained Russian units have fired negligently against Ukraine’s use of drones.

Officials from Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia urged people not to speculate about the crash until investigations have concluded.

A commission has been set up to investigate the crash, involving representatives from Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Russia, Kazakhstan’s Deputy Prime Minister Kanat Bozumbayev said. However, law enforcement agencies of Russia and Azerbaijan will not be allowed to conduct a forensic investigation, he said, according to Kazakh state media.

Here’s what we know about the crash so far.

The plane was traveling from the Azerbaijani capital Baku to Grozny, the capital city of the southern Russian republic of Chechnya, before it made an emergency landing approximately 3 kilometers (1.8 miles) from Aktau, Azerbaijan Airlines said on Wednesday.

Russian state media reported that the plane was rerouted due to heavy fog in Grozny.

According to flight-tracking website Flightradar24, the plane set off on Wednesday at 7:55 a.m. Azerbaijan Standard Time (10:55 p.m. Tuesday ET) and crashed about two-and-a-half hours later.

Officials did not immediately explain why the plane had crossed the Caspian Sea, when Baku and Grozny are to its west and Aktau is to its east.

A second black box had been recovered at the crash site, state news agency Kazinform reported Thursday, which authorities hope will provide important information to help investigators determine what happened.

It will take about two weeks to read the black boxes found at the scene, Bozumbayev said, according to Kazakh state media.

Kazakhstan’s Minister of Transport Marat Karabayev said Thursday that a Kazakh control center received a signal from Russia around 45 minutes before the plane crashed, saying that the flight was being diverted.

The Russian dispatcher said that the aircraft was experiencing a failure in its control systems, and that the crew decided to fly to Aktau after receiving reports of bad weather, Karabayev said. The dispatcher later said that an “oxygen tank exploded in the passenger cabin, causing passengers to lose consciousness,” according to Karabayev.

While the crew made two landing approaches at Aktau airport, the aircraft deviated from its course, and lost communication with dispatchers when it crashed, Karabayev said.

Flightradar24 said in a social media post that the aircraft was “exposed to GPS jamming and spoofing near Grozny.” GPS jamming can significantly hinder a plane’s ability to navigate and communicate, Flightradar24 said, creating potential safety risks.

Data and video of the crash also “indicate possible control issues with the aircraft,” Flightradar24 said.

At least 38 of the 67 people on board the plane were killed in the crash, Kazakh authorities confirmed, including two pilots and a flight attendant.

Some 29 survivors, two of whom are children, were pulled from the wreckage, Bozumbayev said.

Of those on board, 37 of the passengers were Azerbaijan citizens and 16 were from Russia, along with six from Kazakhstan and three from Kyrgyzstan, according to preliminary data from Kazakhstan’s transport ministry.

On Thursday, Kazakhstan’s Vice Minister of Health Timur Muratov said nine Russian citizens and 14 Azerbaijani citizens had been repatriated to their respective countries, according to Kazakh state media.

Six patients were still being treated in Aktau, including three Azerbaijani citizens and three Kyrgyz citizens, he said. Four of those six are in the intensive care unit, while the condition of one patient remains extremely serious and unstable, he added.

Video and images of the plane after it crashed show perforations in its body that look similar to damage from shrapnel or debris. The cause of these holes has not been confirmed.

Video shows moment plane crashes in Kazakhstan


00:31

– Source:
CNN

Azerbaijan Airlines initially told AZERTAC that the incident was caused by the aircraft colliding with a flock of birds, the outlet reported. Russia’s Federal Air Transport Agency also said the plane crashed after colliding with birds.

However, Andriy Kovalenko, the head of Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation, part of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, disputed this, claiming on social media that the plane was “shot down by a Russian air defense system.”

The crash came shortly after Ukrainian drone strikes hit southern Russia. Drone activity has shut airports in the area in the past and the nearest Russian airport on the plane’s flight path was closed on Wednesday morning.

“Russia should have closed the airspace over Grozny but failed to do so,” Kovalenko said, speculating that authorities will try to cover up the real reason behind the crash, including the holes in the plane, as it would be “inconvenient” to blame Russia.

Justin Crump, an intelligence, security and defense expert and the CEO of risk advisory company Sibylline, told BBC Radio 4 on Thursday that the plane being fired at by Russia is “the best theory that fits all the available facts that we know of.” Crump added that Russian air defenses were active in Grozny around the time that the plane was damaged.

“I don’t think this is deliberate at all,” he noted, pointing out that Russia is “very worried” about longer-range active Ukrainian drones that are “very often not getting shot down.”

Osprey Flight Solutions, a UK-based company that analyzes security risks in the aviation sector, also said in an alert to airlines that the flight “was likely shot down by a Russian military air-defense system,” according to The Wall Street Journal.

The US official who talked to CNN on Thursday did not say what type of system may have taken down the passenger jet. Russia has a number of anti-aircraft systems, including its advanced S-300 and S-400 surface-to-air missile systems, as well as its medium-range Pantsir system and others.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Thursday that it would be wrong to speculate about the cause of the crash before an investigation has been carried out. On Friday, when asked if he would comment on reports that Russia shot down the plane, he said he had nothing to add to his previous statement.

Maulen Ashimbayev, chairman of Kazakhstan’s senate, said Thursday that “the nature of these damages and the causes of the disaster are currently unknown.”

Brazilian authorities and representatives of the plane’s manufacturer Embraer are expected to arrive in Kazakhstan, according to Azerbaijan’s state news agency, as authorities begin the process of piecing together the events leading up to the crash.

“We have preserved the wreckage of the plane at the scene of the accident in the same condition as it crashed. The area is fenced off. No one will enter. This will help them investigate the incident as required,” Bozumbayev said, according to Kazakh state media.

Kazakhstan’s Vice Minister of Transport Talgat Lastayev said experts were due to arrive in the country on Friday and that “this process is underway now – fragments, details are being collected,” according to state news agency Kazinform.

Bozumbayev said that “even the preliminary cause cannot be determined yet, as specialists are needed for that.”

“They will conduct the work, and then it will be clear,” Bozumbayev said Thursday.

Bozumbayev also said they had not received accounts of the accident from Russia or Azerbaijan. “Therefore, it is impossible to refute any version,” he said, according to Kazinform.

CNN’s Darya Tarasova contributed to this report.


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Портрет дня: Ильхам Алиев — президент Азербайджана, развернувший в Баку самолёт, летящий в Москву



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Russia accused of shooting down Azerbaijan passenger plane



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New Evidence of Alleged FBI Malfeasance Emerges in Sex Cult Founder’s Case



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New evidence has emerged that allegedly shows the FBI manufactured and planted evidence to secure the conviction of NXIVM sex cult founder Keith Raniere, according to the latest appeal for his release.

Raniere was convicted in October 2020 of racketeering, sex trafficking, forced labor conspiracy, and wire fraud conspiracy and was sentenced to 120 years in prison. He was also fined $1.75 million.

If the FBI were shown to have acted improperly, it could have implications beyond the case if Congress investigates, as well being a blow to public trust in an agency that is already expected to face a major shake-up after Donald Trump takes office early next year.

Evidence of government malfeasance, provided in the appeal documents, included more than 100 photos planted across a digital camera memory card and backup hard drive, according to court documents filed in the Second Circuit Court of Appeals Oct. 28 as part of an appeal seeking a new trial. Evidence also included property search records that contained anomalies and improprieties – revealing a staged crime scene, according to court records filed in the Eastern District of New York on Nov. 28 as part of a motion to vacate the original sentence.

“The search of 8 Hale (a property where Raniere had resided) was deliberately and fraudulently staged and that search scene collection photographs were also deliberately staged,” wrote Mark Daniel Bowling, a former FBI agent and former agent for the Department of Energy’s Office of Inspector General, one of the experts hired by Raniere’s legal team.

“Further, I agree that at least four of the nine search team members were complicit in this fraudulent conduct, with two of them as key orchestrators,” he added. “During my nearly 20 years in the FBI, I have never seen a search executed with this level of corrupt and illegal behavior,” added Bowling referring to the search on March 27, 2018.

The FBI declined comment to Newsweek on the case.

Raniere’s legal team has hired seven digital forensic experts, four of whom are former FBI examiners, and a former FBI crime scene and senior evidence technician photographer for the new appeal.

How was Raniere Convicted?

Raniere founded NXIVM as what he called a self-help group in the 1990s and was accused of creating a sex cult known as DOS within the organization. Its female members said they served as “slaves” and “masters.” Multiple women testified that they joined DOS after being told it was a “women’s empowerment” group. They said they later discovered they would be expected to have sex with Raniere, send him nude photos and have his initials branded onto their bodies.

One piece of evidence was an alleged late discovery, 11 months after the search was conducted, by agents of more than a dozen images of a female that the FBI said was a minor, based on the photo’s metadata showing it was taken in 2005, when the female was under age 18. The woman, with the pseudonym Camila, said in a victim impact statement she had a sexual relationship with Raniere.

Within a few weeks of when the photo evidence and child pornography charges were filed, Raniere’s five codefendants all took plea deals, making it harder for his defense to argue for his innocence.

What are the Allegations of Malfeasance?

However, the experts now hired by the defense say in a report that the photo metadata had been changed to make it appear that Camila was under 18 when the pictures were taken, while Raniere’s lawyers say she was a legal adult when a relationship began.

Raniere’s lawyers previously filed a motion for a new trial alleging malfeasance by the FBI on the grounds of the allegedly manufactured photo evidence, which was rejected in April by Judge Nicholas Garaufis of the Eastern District of New York. They filed a new appeal on that case in October.

In its own filing responding to the defense’s motion for a hearing on a new trial the government admitted that an unidentified FBI photo technician had accessed critical and unpreserved evidence, which the defense’s experts say was an unprecedented act that taints the evidence.

“If he’s not a digital forensic examiner, why is he taking a piece of digital forensic evidence and plugging it into his machine?” asked Micah Sturgis, an independent forensics expert and owner of Sturgis Forensics LLC, who reviewed the reports by the seven forensic experts for Newsweek but is not involved in the case. He reviewed the initial and subsequent reports by the former FBI experts for the initial motion for a new trial, and the government’s own filing in response to the motion for a new trial which was denied and is now pending appeal.

“I’m sure that violates the FBI policy,” Sturgis added. “That would definitely violate any type of local law enforcement policy … It appears to me that the FBI has altered the images, or they have changed the evidence to fit their narrative.”

Sturgis worked as a digital forensic expert for law enforcement for 10 years and was trained by the U.S. Secret Service at the National Computer Forensic Institute. He said he was limited in his assessment because he didn’t have access to the original evidence, but he knows the agents who drafted the defense’s reports personally and by reputation and he believes them.

Sturgis said he was surprised that the judge didn’t give more credence to the report by the former FBI agents as part of the motion for a new trial and alongside the new search findings, in the motion to vacate the original sentence.

“When you’ve got that and it’s being shoved in your face by seven experts, and a judge turns his nose up at it, that entire judicial system needs to be brought into question,” he said.

What Happened in the Search?

Kenneth DeNardo, a 23-year veteran of the FBI who worked as a senior evidence technician and photographer for the evidence response team and is now among the experts paid by Raniere’s defense said he has “never seen a search with this magnitude of malfeasance.”

He alleged that FBI agents had pre-filled the list of personnel on the scene and one agent signed off as several other agents, against agency protocol. He also said that an agent pre-filled the evidence recovery log for the search at 8 Hale before even arriving to conduct the search. FBI protocol requires evidence logs be filled out on site to ensure an accurate real-time record of the search, but this didn’t happen at 8 Hale.

“This is evidenced by crossed-out entries on a later page of the log that correspond to items already listed on an earlier page, albeit in a different sequence, revealing a pre-choreographed effort to fit a predetermined narrative rather than the required real-time documentation. This constitutes evidence fabrication,” he wrote.

He cites multiple other problems with the search, including the fact that a dog was apparently present (a paw was photographed at the scene), despite never being logged as part of the search. Such oversights are serious violations of protocol that indicate an overall pattern of inaccuracy and falsification, DeNardo said.

He said it appears that FBI agents “choreographed” finding key evidence in an upstairs room right away, instead of starting the search with the first room downstairs, per standard FBI procedure. DeNardo said that agents manufactured a scene on a bookshelf by adding and arranging items including two uncollected books on sex trafficking. DeNardo said he also believes one camera was planted on the scene because it was staged on a countertop and photographed, but never taken into evidence.

Another camera, the one allegedly used to take photos of Camila, was discovered almost a year after the search and has an unknown origin, because it was not clearly visible in any FBI photograph taken on the property, according to DeNardo’s report.

The Digital Evidence

The latest court filings also go into more detail outlining what it said were major problems with the digital material that the FBI said it had found within law enforcement’s evidence 11 months after the search of the Hale property.

The case against Raniere was built on two key pieces of digital evidence: a camera card and an external hard drive, said J. Richard Kiper, a retired FBI special agent and computer forensic examiner and instructor who produced a report for the defense on the digital forensic evidence.

Prosecutors said that Raniere used the camera and its card to take explicit photographs of women, including of Camile when she was allegedly 15.

But Kiper and the other experts say the camera card was likely altered between April 11, 2019, and June 11, 2019, while in FBI custody.

According to FBI practice, no examination of electronic evidence can take place before a forensic image (exact copy) has been made of the device by the CART (Computer Analysis Response Team) lab. However, on September 19, 2019, an FBI examiner took the camera card out of evidence control for “review” before CART had processed the evidence, according to court documents. This is a major violation of chain-of-custody standards, Kiper said.

On the same day the camera card was accessed without a write-blocker, which meant it could have been manipulated, the experts said.

“Them taking an SD card that’s in question, and that’s important evidence, and plugging it into a computer that’s not write-blocked – that right there is enough, in my opinion, to have tainted everything. If they allow that to happen there, what more have they done?” Sturgis said.

Kiper said that’s because there was no write-blocker, it could not be determined what was originally on that memory card.

What’s Next?

The FBI has until March 2025 to respond to the filing from Raniere’s legal team.

In the meantime, Sturgis says this evidence could have ramifications far beyond Raniere’s case, particularly if Congress decides to step in and examine the allegations.

“If the FBI manufactured evidence in this case, then the American people need to be concerned with their freedoms and what can happen to them if they’re being investigated by the FBI,” he said. “At what point do you lose complete trust in our federal government or our state government or even our local government?”

Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), the chair of the subcommittee on federal courts, oversight, agency action, and federal rights, declined to comment on the allegations that the FBI had engaged in major malfeasance.


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Christopher Wray Is Reportedly Preparing a Nasty Surprise for Donald Trump and Kash Patel



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Opinion: Christopher Wray’s big mistake: Why it was wrong for the FBI head to step down


Wray should have stayed and tried to uphold the rule of law for as long as he could. That is exactly what he is asking his subordinates at the FBI to do.

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Osint613: JUST IN 🚨 In an interview with Time magazine, Trump stated, “I support any solution that can bring peace. There are options beyond the two-state solution.” https://t.co/HLNU6HsdHo



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Ousted Syrian President Assad granted asylum in Moscow, Russian media says



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