Dictator Ilham Aliyev is blackmailing Europe with gas, saying: ‘Look, I supply you with gas, so don’t touch me.’ He doesn’t realize that even if he dies or is overthrown, this gas and oil will still be sold to Europe.Brian McDonald (@BrianMcDonaldIE)Aliyev’s comments are best taken with a pinch of salt. Even after the recent disruption, Russia still produces roughly 9 million barrels of oil a day, while Azerbaijan produces about 500,000, barely 5–6% as much.
Baku may help fill gaps in particular Western European markets, but it’s in no position to replace Russian supply.— https://x.com/BrianMcDonaldIE/status/2079661723867304265