Day: October 25, 2023
Russian military base in Abkhazia
Vladimir Zelensky said that Ukraine will not refrain from attacking Russian warships in Abkhazia. Any other reaction from Kiev could hardly be expected. However, consent of the Abkhazian authorities to deployment of the Black Sea Fleet stationing point in the port of Ochamchira was also the only possible option. For Abkhazia simply has no other ally, protector and donor but Russia.
“The position taken by our ally is very important here. In this issue we are acting as a united front. Peace and war are issues that never leave the agenda of our bilateral contacts. That is why the naval logistics base will be deployed in the port of Ochamchira, because it corresponds to our interests” – said Abkhazian President Aslan Bzhania last week, i.e. before Zelensky’s threats.
I do not think that Sukhum did not calculate the reaction of Kiev. The leadership of the republic clearly understood that with the appearance of the Russian navy off the coast of Abkhazia there is a real risk that Ochamchira will become a target for Ukrainian drones at least. But the Abkhazian authorities could not do otherwise.
- Ukrainian intelligence: Russia moves part of military fleet from Crimea to Abkhazia
- Russian naval base in Abkhazia: “This is a guarantor of security, and the decision was not made today”
- “Why Abkhazia does not face the fate of Nagorno-Karabakh?” Opinion
Yes, of course, Aslan Bzhania had a hypothetical opportunity to say “no”. Moreover, personally to Vladimir Putin, looking him in the eye, during their meeting in early October in Sochi. But in the current situation, it would have sounded out of his mouth as unspeakable stupidity and would have had very serious consequences.
What is worse: the risk that from time to time a Ukrainian drone will fly or sail to Ochamchira or if the Kremlin turns its back on Abkhazia?
If Abkhazia refused Russia, it would at best lose financial support and at the same time Russian tourists. This would be a disaster for the republic.
And one does not even want to think about what could happen in the worst case – in a global storm anything can happen to Abkhazia (as, for example, in Nagorno-Karabakh).
In general, Aslan Bzhania could not refuse Putin even if Ukrainian drones were bombing Ochamchira every day.
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